This is last wave in a 5 wave sequence and one where most of the public/retail traders are jumping in, and where the professionals are looking to get out
How to trade it
Once you suspect a 4th wave low is in, then you are looking for a termination target for a 5th wave, you already need to have some common support & resistance areas on your charts, these will help
Then you have generally 2 targets of where the 5th wave would equal the 1st wave or where the 5th wave equals a 0.618 x the 1st wave
What is noticeable as its nearing the trend is the momentum indicators such as the RSI & volume tend to be far weaker than the end of the 3rd wave and you tend to find the most Bullish or Bearish news in the media just before a reversal
You have all seen it Bloomberg and CNBC talking about crashes on the end of a 5th wave, and then getting all giddy and jumping through hoops and cartwheels at the top of a trend, Jim Cramer, telling you to buy stocks when the market has rallied already, its classic 5th wave behavior providing that you can identify you are in a 5th wave
And ideally at the top of a 5 wave sequence the media and clowns on TV are Bullish as you can be, and want everyone to buy stocks etc, and at the bottom of a 5 wave sequence the media is calling for armageddon
Where you want to be getting out of positions is on the end to a 5th wave or scaling out and locking in stops if the momentum indicators are diverging, and even start looking for a reversal to trade, then we start the whole sequence again from trading the 1st wave, as the waves the market creates are all part of building blocks of larger patterns
The 5th Wave How To Trade It
Started by Nouf, Sep 04 2010 06:36 AM
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Posted 04 September 2010 - 06:36 AM
To be there for the good times, you got to be there all the time - Ben Lichtenstein
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